Yield Spread (10Y - 2Y)

Yield Spread

The green line shows the difference between the 10-Year and 2-Year yields.
Positive Spread: When the green line is above zero, the 10-Year yield is higher than the 2-Year yield. This is normal and indicates an upward-sloping (normal) yield curve, which typically suggests a healthy economy with expectations of future growth.

Flattening Curve: If the green line approaches zero, the yield curve is flattening, indicating that investors are uncertain about future economic growth. They are demanding similar yields for both short and long-term bonds.

Negative Spread (Inverted Yield Curve): If the green line goes below zero, this means the 2-Year yield is higher than the 10-Year yield, creating an inverted yield curve. An inverted curve is often seen as a predictor of a recession, as it indicates that investors expect weaker economic conditions in the future.

Short Explanation of the Chart layout:
This chart tracks U.S. Treasury yields for 2-year (blue), 10-year (white), and 30-year (orange) bonds, along with the yield spread (green) between the 10-year and 2-year bonds. A positive spread suggests a normal yield curve and economic growth, while a negative spread (inversion) often signals a potential recession.