Majors Rotation System [BackQuant]

10월 22일

Majors Rotation System [BackQuant]
Introducing BackQuant's Majors Rotation System, a comprehensive portfolio management tool for rotating among the major cryptocurrencies—BTC, ETH, and SOL. This system is designed to optimize returns by selecting the strongest-performing asset while avoiding periods of market weakness. It employs a long and cash-only strategy, meaning the system will only hold positions when market conditions are favorable, and will stay in cash during downtrends. Additionally, it incorporates a powerful regime filter to ensure the system is inactive during market-wide downturns.

This script is ideal for crypto traders looking to improve performance by dynamically allocating capital based on real-time performance metrics, rather than relying on a simple buy-and-hold strategy.

Key Features
Dynamic Asset Rotation: The system constantly evaluates the performance of BTC, ETH, and SOL, selecting the strongest asset based on a ratio matrix. This matrix compares the relative strength of each asset to one another, ensuring that your portfolio is always positioned in the cryptocurrency with the most momentum.

Long and Cash-Only Portfolio: This system only takes long positions or remains in cash. By avoiding short positions, it reduces exposure during market downturns. The built-in regime filter ensures the system only operates when the broader market (represented by the TOTAL crypto market cap) is trending up, offering additional protection against unfavorable market conditions.

Equity Tracking: The script provides a real-time visualization of portfolio equity compared to a buy-and-hold strategy. It displays the equity curve of the portfolio while allowing you to compare it against the hypothetical equity of holding BTC, ETH, or SOL individually (Buy and Hold).

Performance Metrics: In addition to equity visualization, the system provides detailed performance metrics, including:

Sharpe Ratio: Measures risk-adjusted returns.
Sortino Ratio: Focuses on downside risk.
Omega Ratio: Evaluates returns relative to risk.
Maximum Drawdown: The maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough.
These metrics allow traders to assess the efficiency of the rotation system compared to simply holding assets.

Visual Cues:
Painted Candles: The script provides a visual trend indicator by painting candles according to the trend of the selected chart, helping traders quickly identify momentum shifts.
Support for Multiple Assets: The system allows users to toggle between BTC, ETH, and SOL or view the entire portfolio at once. It displays key metrics for each asset and offers an intuitive way to understand which asset is currently outperforming.
Regime Filter: A key aspect of this system is the regime filter, which only allows trading in favorable market conditions. It uses a Universal TPI (Trend Performance Indicator) to evaluate whether the overall crypto market (TOTAL Market Cap) and key assets (BTC, ETH) are in a bullish trend. If the market is in a downtrend, the system will exit positions and move into cash.

Customizable Parameters: Users can customize several important aspects of the system:
Starting Date: Choose when the backtest or live trading begins.
Starting Capital: Set the initial capital for backtesting purposes.
Visualization Options: Toggle between base data, ratioed data, and equity plots. Users can also customize the line width and color settings for better chart clarity.
Adaptive Momentum Scoring: The system uses advanced indicators, which are not disclosed (proprietary) to assess the trend and momentum of the selected cryptocurrencies dynamically.
How the Rotation Works
The system uses a universal algorithm to calculate trend and momentum signals for BTC, ETH, and SOL. These signals are processed through a ratio matrix, which compares the performance of each asset against the others. Based on this comparison, the system identifies the strongest asset and allocates capital accordingly.

BTC, ETH, and SOL Scores: These scores represent the relative strength of each asset based on the universal algorithm. The system dynamically selects the asset with the highest score, rotating out of underperforming assets and into the top performer.
Allocation Decisions: The system determines whether to allocate capital to BTC, ETH, SOL, or Cash based on the scores. If none of the assets show strength, the system defaults to cash to protect the portfolio from market downturns.

Equity and Buy-and-Hold Comparisons
This script provides a side-by-side comparison of the portfolio’s equity curve and a buy-and-hold strategy:
Portfolio Equity: Shows the performance of the system as it rotates between BTC, ETH, and SOL.
Buy-and-Hold Equity: Displays how the portfolio would have performed if you simply held BTC, ETH, or SOL without trading.

These comparisons allow traders to see how the dynamic rotation system performs relative to a passive holding strategy.

Alerts and Visual Feedback
The system provides real-time alerts when asset allocations change, notifying traders when the system moves capital between assets or into cash. Additionally, the system offers detailed visual feedback, including:
Equity Curve Plots: Displays the equity curve of the portfolio and the individual assets.
Score Labels: Shows the strength scores for BTC, ETH, and SOL directly on the chart for easy monitoring.

Final Thoughts
The Majors Rotation System [BackQuant] offers a powerful way to navigate the highly volatile crypto market by rotating between the strongest performing assets and staying in cash when conditions are unfavorable. With its advanced metrics, equity tracking, and built-in regime filter, this system is designed to optimize returns while minimizing risk.

10월 27일

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