Your **Refined SMA/EMA Crossover with Ichimoku and 200 SMA Filter** strategy is a multi-faceted technical trading strategy that combines several key technical indicators to refine entry and exit points for trades. Here's a breakdown of the components and how they work together:
### 1. **SMA/EMA Crossover** - **Simple Moving Average (SMA) & Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Crossover**: - The core idea behind the crossover strategy is to use the relationship between two moving averages to generate buy or sell signals. - **SMA** (Simple Moving Average) gives an average of past prices over a set period. - **EMA** (Exponential Moving Average) places more weight on recent prices, making it more responsive to price movements. - A **bullish crossover** occurs when a shorter period moving average (such as a 50-period EMA) crosses above a longer period moving average (such as a 200-period SMA), signaling a potential buy. - A **bearish crossover** occurs when a shorter period moving average crosses below the longer period moving average, signaling a potential sell.
### 2. **Ichimoku Cloud** - The **Ichimoku Cloud** is a versatile indicator that provides insight into trend direction, support and resistance levels, and momentum. - **Cloud (Kumo)**: The space between the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B lines. It helps identify whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or consolidation. - **Tenkan-sen** (Conversion Line) and **Kijun-sen** (Base Line): These lines are used for additional confirmation of trend direction. - **Chikou Span**: A lagging line that is used to confirm the trend. - The general trading rules based on the Ichimoku Cloud are: - **Bullish Signal**: When the price is above the cloud and the Tenkan-sen crosses above the Kijun-sen. - **Bearish Signal**: When the price is below the cloud and the Tenkan-sen crosses below the Kijun-sen.
### 3. **200 SMA Filter** - The **200 SMA Filter** serves as a long-term trend filter. - When the price is **above the 200 SMA**, it signals a long-term bullish trend, and you only look for buying opportunities. - When the price is **below the 200 SMA**, it signals a long-term bearish trend, and you only look for selling opportunities. - This filter helps to avoid counter-trend trades, aligning your positions with the broader market trend.
### **How the Strategy Works Together** - **Trade Setup (Long Position)** 1. The **200 SMA Filter** must confirm an **uptrend** by ensuring that the price is above the 200 SMA. 2. A **bullish crossover** (e.g., the 50 EMA crossing above the 200 SMA) occurs. 3. **Ichimoku Cloud** confirms a bullish trend, with the price above the cloud and the Tenkan-sen crossing above the Kijun-sen. 4. You enter a **long trade** with this confluence of signals.
- **Trade Setup (Short Position)** 1. The **200 SMA Filter** must confirm a **downtrend** by ensuring the price is below the 200 SMA. 2. A **bearish crossover** (e.g., the 50 EMA crossing below the 200 SMA) occurs. 3. **Ichimoku Cloud** confirms a bearish trend, with the price below the cloud and the Tenkan-sen crossing below the Kijun-sen. 4. You enter a **short trade** with this confluence of signals.
### **Exit Strategy** - Exits can be determined based on any of the following: - **SMA/EMA crossover reversal**: Exit when the shorter-term moving average crosses back below the longer-term moving average for a long position or crosses above for a short position. - **Ichimoku Cloud reversal**: If the price breaks through the cloud or the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines cross in the opposite direction. - **Profit target or stop loss**: Setting predefined profit targets or using a trailing stop to lock in profits as the trade moves in your favor.
Summary of the Strategy
This strategy is designed to identify strong trends and avoid false signals by combining:
SMA/EMA crossovers for immediate market direction signals.
Ichimoku Cloud for confirming the strength and trend direction.
A 200
SMA filter to ensure trades align with the long-term trend.
By using these multiple indicators together, the strategy aims to refine entry and exit points, minimize risk, and increase the likelihood of successful trades.
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