XVG/USDT Analysis using Trendlines and OB's

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In this XVG/USDT setup, the market is showing a clear HTF bullish structure on the 15-minute timeframe, while the LTF (3-minute) is still in a corrective downtrend. This type of HTF–LTF mismatch usually indicates that the market is searching for liquidity before aligning back with the major trend.

To understand the direction more accurately, I combined Price Action and SMC, especially focusing on order blocks, trend shifts, and liquidity sweeps.

HTF (15m) Analysis
  • Price is still respecting bullish structure.
  • The last valid 15m demand/Order Block lies between 0.008095 – 0.007851.
  • Market recently tapped into this range, indicating potential accumulation and a high chance of a continuation move to the upside.


LTF (3m) Analysis
  • 3m trend is currently in a controlled downtrend, forming clean impulsive and corrective legs.
  • A refined 3m OB is identified between 0.007968 – 0.007851.
  • This refined OB aligns perfectly with the deeper 15m OB, giving a high-probability confluence zone.
  • If this zone holds, a bullish shift on LTF is expected.


Trade Plan
I entered based on the expectation that price will shift bullish after filling the 3m OB and aligning with the 15m HTF trend.
  • Entry: 0.007967
  • Stop Loss: 0.007851
  • TP 1: 0.008084 (1:1 RR)
  • TP 2: 0.008334 (1:3.16 RR)

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