XLE False Break Downwards?

XLE appears to have just gone through a false break downwards and returned back to the important 67.7 level. I would expect this price to continue up to around the 68.9 level, as that appears a good spot where the price will meet the 50 day mva and is also a monthly pivot level. Right now, I would expect price to continue heading higher or meet a little bit of resistance at the 67.7 level before heading higher.