See the two blue overlays above, one going up, and one going down? We're in this grey region where both possibilities still exist. If we drop from the bottom of the triangle, then sync up to the bottom trajectory and won't likely reach bottom until 4-5k. Should be break upwards, the aim would be to sync up with the top trajectory, and my estimates have varied greatly this last month or two, from 16k to 120k... I'm not going to be able to assess/reassess where that endpoint could be until after I see what happens when (if) we break upside out of the triangle...