Bigger picture of where BTC is going
업데이트됨
Some people keep asking me where we go, but the thing is as I previously explained, it is all about probability, no one can be sure on any of the time terms (If people really knew to predict every BTC move they would be very rich and famous in doing so), but my probabilities atm are:
Short term? no one can be sure...
we are in a symmetrical triangle as I showed previously... any break below it or above it will determine the short-mid term mood..
mid term? historical phases (last parabolic run, and the first time we hit 1k+ and had a big correction before the explosion) show that we have still a big correction, also the rise of the current parabolic was due to tether manipulation and exciting bots, also i didn't see real volume buying power, sentimental's aren't really that strong, and in fundamentals the technology is way behind so I don't see any institutions nor adaptation in at-least next 2 years... also if we explode with another parabolic move upwards then the crush is going to be much worst then I expect now, so mid term if we wont create ath, then we will see a 1-5.5-8.2k again (1-3 if tether dies, and 5.5 because we need to reset the current parabolic like we did with the previous, or at-least correct it to 0.7 fib' which is +/- 8.2k)... also excitement, and other values of moon boys give me the same vibes as it was when we got to 18k last time, and when we got to 1k for the first time way before that (both had long term corrections which no one believed could happen)...
long term? I can see Bitcoin between 1-10m$ if the technology matures and succeeds, this is the stable zone for Bitcoin where 1sat = 1cent, when BTC replaces all fiat in the world (Or stays above all of them), when only multi billionaires can hold 1 whole BTC, when all BTC cap can hold all gold in the world and so on...
Hopefully this answers your question..
Things can always change, by this is basically the vision which I hope to see..
Short term? no one can be sure...
we are in a symmetrical triangle as I showed previously... any break below it or above it will determine the short-mid term mood..
mid term? historical phases (last parabolic run, and the first time we hit 1k+ and had a big correction before the explosion) show that we have still a big correction, also the rise of the current parabolic was due to tether manipulation and exciting bots, also i didn't see real volume buying power, sentimental's aren't really that strong, and in fundamentals the technology is way behind so I don't see any institutions nor adaptation in at-least next 2 years... also if we explode with another parabolic move upwards then the crush is going to be much worst then I expect now, so mid term if we wont create ath, then we will see a 1-5.5-8.2k again (1-3 if tether dies, and 5.5 because we need to reset the current parabolic like we did with the previous, or at-least correct it to 0.7 fib' which is +/- 8.2k)... also excitement, and other values of moon boys give me the same vibes as it was when we got to 18k last time, and when we got to 1k for the first time way before that (both had long term corrections which no one believed could happen)...
long term? I can see Bitcoin between 1-10m$ if the technology matures and succeeds, this is the stable zone for Bitcoin where 1sat = 1cent, when BTC replaces all fiat in the world (Or stays above all of them), when only multi billionaires can hold 1 whole BTC, when all BTC cap can hold all gold in the world and so on...
Hopefully this answers your question..
Things can always change, by this is basically the vision which I hope to see..
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액티브 트레이드
- Guidance for Symmetrical triangles:
- Last update about why it's still not safe to do longs:
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