Allow me to continue my storyline of the Gold market.
In my previous analysis of the gold market, I identified two unfolding patterns with similar directional implications. While one pattern was invalidated, the other continues to develop as expected. I projected an appreciation in the gold price from 2370.930 to the 2430-2442 region, which has materialized with gold rallying to 2425.540, where it is currently encountering resistance.
Additionally, a new bearish Gartley pattern has emerged, suggesting a potential decline towards 2314.318 to complete the D-leg of the earlier identified unfolding bullish Gartley pattern. Supporting this bearish outlook are the following factors:
1. The current gold price has met the minimum requirement for leg C of the larger unfolding Gartley pattern, even though there are still room to the upside, but it shouldn't exceed 2436.857. 2. A fully formed smaller bearish Gartley pattern has been observed on the H1 timeframe. 3. The price is currently at a key supply zone that coincides with a critical level in our analysis.
Given these observations, I anticipate a significant drop in the gold price. However, if the price exceeds the maximum harmonic level for the formation of leg C of the unfolding bullish Gartley pattern at 2436.857, this outlook will be invalidated.