As markets continue to see headlines about delayed negotiations for the China and U.S. tariffs, gold continues to be stuck in what seems to be a longer term daily bull flag-- declining channel-- making well enough defined lower-highs and lower-lows. My downside target this week for gold is 1448, where I expected gold to react off of the previous resistance now current support. This would result in a double bottom forming at the 3rd lower-low in the downward structural channel starting at the beginning of September. We can look for long entries at the key level of 1448, and look to take profit at the upper descending channel/ trend-line.
If 1448 doesn't hold on the 4-hrly time frame, my next downside target is 1400 which is a key level just above the 200 day MA. I think December will be an interesting month for Gold because of how the transition of the U.S> and China trade policy as well as the fact that the European auto sector is of focus for the Trump administration. There are alot of things that need to develop this year and regardless of seasonality and holiday I think it will be fairly active in terms of risk-on vs risk-off.
If 1448 doesn't hold on the 4-hrly time frame, my next downside target is 1400 which is a key level just above the 200 day MA. I think December will be an interesting month for Gold because of how the transition of the U.S> and China trade policy as well as the fact that the European auto sector is of focus for the Trump administration. There are alot of things that need to develop this year and regardless of seasonality and holiday I think it will be fairly active in terms of risk-on vs risk-off.
