Gold analysis of Nov 2022 TF Week (short- to long-term)

2022년 11월 11일

Gold made the triple bottom at 1618 in the past two months. Recently, the price has reverse to 1772 as the negative CPI data and the inflation rate is lower than expected. This price action confirms the end of Wave C.

Short-term analysis
After the gold price has a sharp rally over 100 usd in last week, it is expected to have correction next week from 1772 (wave 1 green), but still in an uptrend. However, it should not drop below 1680 (wave 2 green).
Trading strategy:
Sell 1772-1802
TP 1766/1758/1747
SL set according to your margin (probably hit 1806)


Medium-term analysis
It is necessary to wait for a confirmation signal from a pullback to wave 2 green, which should not fall below 1680 (wave 2 green). Then, it would be great chance to open long/buy positions.
In contrast, if gold has pullback lower than 1680, it has a chance of a bearish reversal, which means that this strong rebound (at 1772) is just a market correction. It may result in the price of gold continuing to decline in the long term (red wave)

Long-term analysis
1st scenario, if gold keep it rising trend, the price action can made a new high (> 2070) following to green wave (5)
2nd scenario, if gold reverses to a downtrend, we might see great drop to 1302 following to red wave (5). Regard to the "Gold price prediction chart pattern" my long term analyzed on March 30, 2022 (see more detail in attached link).

2022년 11월 23일

액티브 트레이드

From the first signal, all TP arrived. Hope you flipped your position to buy at 1735 and lock in profit at 1747, as well as picked the top to sell and book profit, following the minor signal yesterday

2. signal
SELL 1747-1752
TP 1735/1728/1722/1716
SL set according to your margin (probably hit 1752)

2023년 2월 8일

노트

Regarding my #gold #xauusd in November 2022, it seems to complete wave 3
1959, which follows the 1st scenario of the Long-term analysis. Now 1877, it is likely to rebound to 1888/1911/1920 for a drop again. Keys support is 1828-1786 (wave 4), otherwise, wave 5 would fail.
.
Breaking of 1921 would confirm the completion of wave 4 at only 1860, which a bit too shallow and has the potential to hit wave 5 too early. If so, it is probably not able to make a new high.