ANALYSIS GOLD 01/07/2024

7월 1일

(XAUUSD) chart you have provided, I will examine key technical indicators and patterns. Let's break it down step by step:

Fibonacci Retracement Levels:

The Fibonacci retracement levels indicate potential support and resistance areas.
Key levels observed: 0.618 (2,340.122), 0.5 (2,324.379), 0.382 (2,307.746).
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price):

Monthly VWAP levels are shown: 2,324.573, 2,324.906, 2,324.240.
These levels suggest areas where the price may revert to the mean.
Trend Lines and Channels:

The chart shows descending trend lines forming a channel, indicating a bearish trend.
Price is fluctuating within these trend lines, with lower highs and lower lows.
Price Action:

A significant drop is visible around the 25th, followed by consolidation.
Recent price action shows a slight recovery but still within the bearish channel.
Support and Resistance:

Strong support around 2,284.948 (Fibonacci level 1).
Resistance near 2,343.312 and higher at 2,368.425 (1.618 Fibonacci extension).
Potential Scenarios:

Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the resistance at 2,343.312, it could test higher resistance levels like 2,350.939 or even 2,368.425.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break resistance and continues downward, it might test support at 2,294.232 or even lower at 2,284.948.
Based on the chart, it seems the current trend is bearish with potential for consolidation or a slight upward correction. Keep an eye on key Fibonacci levels and trend lines for potential entry and exit points. Always combine technical analysis with fundamental insights for more informed trading decisions.