XAUUSD Forecast

2023년 3월 25일

Based on the information provided, the gold price has been rallying due to fears of a global banking crisis, fueled by the Credit Suisse scandal. Although the situation has calmed down for now, the trust in banks has been severely damaged.

There are two possible scenarios for gold price moving forward, with the bullish scenario represented by the blue line and the bearish scenario represented by the red line. Based on the information provided, it seems that the bullish scenario is more likely.

One of the reasons for this is that despite hitting the significant sell-off area around $2000, we have not seen a significant pullback in the gold price. This suggests that buyers are still interested in gold and are willing to buy at these higher levels. Furthermore, the damage to trust in banks may continue to support the gold price as investors seek safe-haven assets.

However, it is important to note that market conditions can change quickly, and the bearish scenario should not be discounted entirely. Traders should continue to monitor the gold price closely and look for signs of a reversal, particularly if the price starts to break below key support levels.

In conclusion, the gold price has been rallying due to fears of a global banking crisis, and there are two possible scenarios for its future movement. While the bullish scenario seems more likely based on current market conditions, traders should be prepared for potential changes and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.