GOLD → Wedge has formed. What next?

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XAUUSD consolidation has been completed as investors rush to take profits after the precious metal’s consecutive price increases, reaching the highest level in more than 5 weeks earlier in the session. Prices are currently testing the gap around 2683 - 2670 (FVG). What’s next?

Focusing on policy guidance related to the future of U.S. policies is crucial to determining the certainty of the market's next bullish wave. According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at next week's policy meeting. Alex Ebkarian, CEO of Allegiance Gold, notes that the Fed is in a very difficult position as the likelihood of a rate cut next week increases, but inflation remains elevated.

From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to escape the battlefield, crossing a key resistance level. A breakout at 2687 has already been established. In theory, the development tends to push prices higher. If gold breaks out of the resistance size, it will provide distribution momentum. Conversely, prices may consolidate further. Ultimately, everything depends on the dollar.

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