faylee

Short for Retracement

faylee 업데이트됨   
OANDA:XAUUSD   골드 스팟 / 미국 달러
Seems like the structure for Wave C already completed.
It's swing 13hrs yet cannot break out $1220, try to short from$1216 to tg 1170ish.
But take care for the support:$1206 and $1192, and get the tg step by step.

Entry:$1216.3
SL: $1226
TP1:$1207
TP2:S1194
TP3:$1172
코멘트:
Daily chart
So far, we only suppose that $1220 is the top of (A), but it is unconfirmed. After breaking out $1192, will confirm.
코멘트:
Broke the wedge possible, going to retrace $1208-1206
코멘트:
Get down~~~
코멘트:
Hold on! Break out retrace done!
코멘트:
sorry, ignore the upon wrong chart, the following is correct:
매매 수동청산:
1Hour chart a bullish signal appeared, so i suggest to close the short for safy's sake.

코멘트:
15&30m bearish pattern appeared
액티브 트레이드:
Entry:$1216
코멘트:
hit TP1 already:)
Since already broken 1206, will test 1193 next.
Still sell on rally
코멘트:
daily chart, there's some support at 1187-1196
코멘트:
The bearish Gartley has completed it's tg at fibo 2.618. Now be ready for the bounce. still sell on rally.
Resistant level:$1202, $1206-1208
코멘트:
In 1 hr. chart, likely swing between 1200 and 1211.
Need time to swing down.
Watch the 3 resistant level in red box.
Price below MA55, sell on rally
코멘트:
see this 1 hour closing,under or above $1202 resistance
코멘트:
Still in range
코멘트:
So far 1218 is the supposing Top of Wave A, unless it broken 1213 today.
Only when broken 1190, will confirm The top of Wave A.
코멘트:
Now the price was blocked by resistant level 1202
코멘트:
Price blocked by 1206, re-entered shorts at 1204, SL:$1213
코멘트:
After 27hrs' consolidation, in 4H chart, there's support area in form $1198-$1204.
$1211 is the crucial resistance today, once broke out, will test $1220-$1222.
Fortunately, I took profits in last drop. So even if the shorts cut loss at $1213, I still have more than $5 profit margin in this strategy.
Profit and risk management is very important in trading, we're always facing the loss once we're in the market. It's actually very difficult to be the 10% successful traders.
코멘트:
To tell a Truth:
My friend joined the National Future trade competition. He told us a truth that there're 40k trading accounts in this race, finally only 3.8k accounts yielding above 0%. Others are in loss. That means less than 10% traders are successful.
코멘트:
4hrs chart,price blocked by 1209,and it's already swing 28hrs,time to choose the directions:
코멘트:
코멘트:
코멘트:
코멘트:
4H chart, range trading: 1196-1218
Daily chart, indicator tells the volatility is low, so, in the next 2days, scalping in range, or, better watch untill broke the range, would be safe for trading, IMO.
코멘트:
4H chart still in range now, see red box.
can try a short for range scalping
액티브 트레이드:
Entry: $1215.7
SL:$1226
TP1: $1210
TP2:$1200-1198
TP3:$1172(Once breaking 1196)
코멘트:
4 hrs' chart, indicator div.
코멘트:
30m chart retested 1214-1215,then go u turn
코멘트:
short for tg:1207& 1202 exit
코멘트:
for short term scalping, already hit TP1: $1210
Then,it will take time to approach next two tg:
코멘트:
bearish pattern in 15M tf, tg:$1214, $1207
코멘트:
$1214 approached, then goes for $1207
코멘트:
As I've mentioned 2days ago,"in the next 2days, scalping in range, or, better watch untill broke the range..."
코멘트:
broke $1214 falling to next tg$1207
코멘트:
heading TP2:1207 in short term.
For longer term tg: 1172 remain unchanged. maybe 1175 will exit
코멘트:
the bearish pattern completed hit the short term tg 1207 perfectly
코멘트:
since after breaking the neckline 1211, H&S pattern confirmed, $1203 exit.
코멘트:
Likely go Zigzag retracement
코멘트:
Updated!!!
코멘트:
H&S pattern completed, short term tg:$1202 hit.
코멘트:
코멘트:
$1198-1199 exit, then wait for breaking out $1196 to sell on rally.
코멘트:
TP2:$1194 reached!!
I took profits at $1194.34,and stay away. watching for today's close and looking for new entry in next day.
Good luck to you all!
코멘트:
코멘트:
It will need patience to hold the positions since the entry is a little bit early. And felt stressful to follow up with the trending closely with strategy, bcos not always so lucky. Finally found that the initial entry/TP/SL are almost the best one, which i almost forgot to the end -.-|||
코멘트:
updated wave count,it is still down trend in short term.
watch resistance $1202,$1206
코멘트:
revised wave counting. still waiting to sell on rally
코멘트:
Updated wave count
코멘트:
In this strategy, we've already caught $1216.3 $1215.7 entry, and 2 days ago, i added shorts when retraced $1207. The shorts were exited at 1194. Only missed short from $1202.
The retracement is a little bit deep as I expected before. I set 1194 as 1st TP, that is due to support at 1196 and i was afraid of a false break out at the first time.
Now,suppose 1184 is the end of Wave a, will need 1-2 days' correction for wave b(1192-1197), I plan to short from there, to wave c tg:1150. I'll keep update when trade active again.
코멘트:
Daily chart price was holded by MA55, it is not a time to short, as my previous suggestion is 1-2 days' correction for wave b, just watch or scalping in short term.
코멘트:
In weekly chart, it's a bearish engulfing candle, so i still persist to this short strategy,just sell on rally, unless long signal appeared on weekly chart.
코멘트:
Fundamentals in next week(in Beijing Time):
Jan-31/Tue 11:00, BOJ rate decision
Feb-1/Wed 21:15, ADP
Feb-2/Thur 3:00, FOMC rate decision
20:00, BOE rate decision
Feb-3/Fri 21:30, NFP
액티브 트레이드:
i tried a short from1197.2 just now,my earlier shorts from1193was closed at1191.
코멘트:
my enrty is a little bit earlier, 1197hit earlier than Tue.,that means higher risk for shorts. Timing is more important than the price.
액티브 트레이드:
i added shorts at 1201,SL1204.
exactly i shorted too early in yesterday,and TUE is the right time to go short,as the plan. Plan and action are one! I still cannot do it well.
코멘트:
I shorted again from 1204.58

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