XAU/USD 08-12 April 2024 Weekly Analysis

Weekly Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price printed a bullish swing BOS followed by a bullish iBOS and continues to break all time highs.

Most likely scenario would be for price to pull back following swing and internal BOS (Break Of Structure)

First structural indication, but not confirmation that pullback has initiated would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted by a vertical blue dashed line as internal low as CHoCH are priced at the same level.

Price is now trading within a fractal high and internal low.

Expectation is for price to pullback following swing and internal pullback. Internal low and CHoCH are positioned at the same level.

Weekly Chart: 스냅샷

Daily Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains unchanged since last daily analysis dated 20/03/2024.

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price has printed a swing BOS. Swing low confirmed and adjusted with swing high yet to be established.

Most likely scenario will be for price to pull back following swing BOS. First indication, but not confirmation, would be a bearish CHOCH denoted with a vertical dotted line.

As mentioned on 31 March 2024, price could potentially continue to trade bullish to seek further liquidity before pullback, however, it is looking increasingly likely a pullback will be imminent as the CHoCH has been brought considerably closer.

Daily Chart: 스냅샷

H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook.

Price has printed further highs since last Friday's analysis dated 5 April 2024 where we continue to trade within a fractal high and internal low.

As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new highs and still remains the case.

Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent approach would be to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.

H4 Chart: 스냅샷




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