USOIL Bullish 4h Divergence

10월 24일

1. Market Analysis:

Asset: USOIL (WTI Crude Oil)
Timeframe: 4-hour
Pattern: Bullish divergence
2. Divergence Details:

Bullish Divergence: A bullish divergence occurs when the price forms lower lows, but an oscillator like RSI or MACD forms higher lows, indicating a potential reversal to the upside. This signals that bearish momentum is weakening and a bullish reversal may be imminent.
3. Trade Setup:

Entry Point: Enter a long position once a bullish candlestick closes and confirms the divergence on the 4-hour chart. Look for a strong confirmation candle, such as a bullish engulfing or a close above a short-term resistance level.

Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss below the recent swing low to minimize risk in case the trade goes against you. This placement will account for market volatility and protect your capital.

Take-Profit: Identify key resistance levels for take-profit. You can aim for a favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:2 or higher, or target the next significant resistance level for oil prices.

4. Risk Management:

Position Size: Calculate your position size based on your risk tolerance and the distance between your entry and stop-loss. Only risk a small percentage of your trading capital per trade (1-2%).

Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, meaning if you risk 50 points on your stop-loss, your take-profit should be at least 100 points away from your entry.

5. Additional Confirmation:

Volume: Ensure volume increases as the price moves upward to confirm strong buying interest and support the bullish divergence.

Support and Resistance Levels: Check that the entry aligns with strong support zones, and plan to exit around resistance levels that align with the broader market trend.

6. Trade Execution:

Place Orders: Set your buy order, stop-loss, and take-profit levels according to the plan.

Monitor the Trade: Manage the trade by adjusting your stop-loss to break even or trailing it as the price moves in your favor.

7. Review and Adjust:

Post-Trade Analysis: After the trade closes, review its outcome to learn from it. Reflect on how well the setup played out and what could be improved in future trades.