USDTRY: Offering interesting downside

I'll be monitoring this pair for a short entry soon, if we break the weekly support, and expand the daily range down we might get sufficient reason to get involved on the short side.
The setup is purely technical, I'm not considering Turkish fundamentals but if anyone wants to expand on them, maybe they can shed some light on this setup.
Feel free to leave your comments.
Good luck if taking this trade.

Cheers,

Ivan Labrie.
Time at Mode FX

코멘트:

Looking solid, took a 3 ATR entry first, will add once we get further confirmation. Downside is gigantic.

코멘트:

In case you haven't, check this chart:

Since I posted it, USDTRY effectively topped. I think it's still in play, with a 55% probability at least.

코멘트:

View of the FOMC key support and resistance levels.
If we break down convincingly, huge downside opens up.

액티브 트레이드

매매 수동청산:

Closed manually for -0.15%
I'll wait, not safe to short yet.

코멘트:

Probably safe to short it again.

코멘트:

If you reentered a month ago like I suggested, you'd be in great profit.
Expect a retracement since we hit the first target, but it could just continue marching down.