USD/MXN may threaten the opening range for September as it struggles to test the August high (20.2271).

USD/MXN Rate Outlook

USD/MXN continues to pull back from the monthly high (20.1496) to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 70, with a break/close below the 19.5620 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) to 19.6280 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region raising the scope for a move towards 19.1470 (61.8% Fibonacci extension).

Next area of interest comes in around 18.8560 (50% Fibonacci extension) but USD/MXN may track the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA (18.7936) as it holds above the moving average.

Need a close above the 19.8990 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) to 20.0900 (100% Fibonacci extension) zone to bring 20.3200 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) on the radar, with the next hurdle coming in around the September 2022 high (20.5804).

--- Written by David Song, Strategist at FOREX.com
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