Possible downtrend continuation pulling back at 38.20% Fib,it might break the downtrend resistance up to the 38.20% Fib. It is also possible to go at 50% Fib that`s why stop loss above 50% but the RSI will be in the overbought area when it reach the 38.20% Fib. If it cannot break the downtrend resistance, then it will go down early in triangle pattern.