USDCHF 15M short | Evening Star Pattern

2018년 3월 13일

Candle Pattern: Evening Star
Trend: down
Trend Entry: with

TP/SL Ratio Target: 2 to 1
Target TP PIPs: 30
SL PIPS: 15

Fib Entry: .764
Fib TP: 1+
Stochastic: over-bought
MACD Histogram: contracting down
200SMA: below
Inside EMA/SMA zone: yes
BB: top
Pivot Point: At Pivot

Elliot Wave:
looking for an ABC C point final termination closer to the wave 3/4 zone of the last elliot wave uptrend and close to the 200sma on the hourly chart.




Notes:

Evening star formed around the 618 fib retracement. I set my entry at the .764 above the morning star to allow for better entry

stochastic showing overbought with a sligh divergence to the downside
macd still showing decrease in upside momentum

What can go wrong:
SL is set above elliot wave A point correction low. I could be wrong about C point making a final low closer to the 200sma and we could be at a new uptrend elliot wave extension at which point the current C point would be the starting point of the new elliot wave to the upside and A correction would be broken closing out my trade.

2018년 3월 13일

거래청산: 타겟 닿음

TP reached in 6 hours
elliot C wave correction terminated exactly around the wave 3/4 zone and just shy of the 200sma.



could continue to drop, looking for for uptick with a 618 -764 retracement to retest the low for an entry long to possibly start a new elliot wave to the upside