US Wall St 30업데이트됨 Wall Street (and S&P500) - technical picture vs seasonality
In this screen cast I explore the Halloween Effect -which is a seasonal pattern - going back to 2012.
My overall position is that from 2012, the Halloween Effect is more probable, However, it is not 100%.
Statistical studies have been tracking this effect based on data largely based on a far more data before 2012 (but including the time up to the the present).
Markets have changed a whole lot since 2012 (a far more electronic world, ease of moving money around etc).
In addition the Halloween Effect has not been subject to geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that have piled up in the last 3 years.
The technical picture is one of fragility from Jan 2018. [I do not hold assets in these markets]
My overall position is that from 2012, the Halloween Effect is more probable, However, it is not 100%.
Statistical studies have been tracking this effect based on data largely based on a far more data before 2012 (but including the time up to the the present).
Markets have changed a whole lot since 2012 (a far more electronic world, ease of moving money around etc).
In addition the Halloween Effect has not been subject to geopolitical and macroeconomic forces that have piled up in the last 3 years.
The technical picture is one of fragility from Jan 2018. [I do not hold assets in these markets]
노트
노트
Ooops in the feeding frenzy post midterm elections, some forgot about the Fed. This is gonna get very interesting! :))
FED balance sheet 42% of GDP @ 2020-01-26. Does money have value anymore? [Different perspective on the virus youtu.be/NjTdvALChwk ]
관련 발행물
면책사항
이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.
FED balance sheet 42% of GDP @ 2020-01-26. Does money have value anymore? [Different perspective on the virus youtu.be/NjTdvALChwk ]
관련 발행물
면책사항
이 정보와 게시물은 TradingView에서 제공하거나 보증하는 금융, 투자, 거래 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권고 사항을 의미하거나 구성하지 않습니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참고하세요.