10Y - 02Y outlook

10월 4일

My recent assessments have been negated.

I am mostly skewed to the idea it will break negative again, correlating to sentiment fuel for the blow off top in the SPX (no recession sentiment short term?).

Once it flips negative again, to back test the purple bull penant, I strongly expect that to correlate to the markets topping and will potentially exit if I see further confirmation across other instruments.

Reason for exiting prior to it flipping positive again if it goes negative, is because my research has shown me when the 10-2 yield spread is truly trending upwards to break 0%, the market falls with it, as I imagine "smart money" will know what's coming and exit.

Not financial advice.
Just my prediction for now.