미국 정부 10년 채권

US yields looking "toppy"; more weakness after rally

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The US CPI came down more than expected yesterday at 3.2% y/y, and as a result the USD fell sharply with US yeilds, while stocks and metals are on the rise. For now, this seems to be a very important data as it causes also a very important breakdown on USD index and US yeilds.

Looking at the US yeilds, we have five waves down, so it means that top is in place, and suggests that speculators believe that FED is done with hiking. But road map to lower yields/higher bonds will be a bit "bumpy", so be aware of some rally, especially if we consider five waves down on 10 year US yields. So A-B-C rally can cause some pullbacks on XXX/Dollar pairs, which will eventually see more upside after pullbacks.

Grega

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