Trading Alt-coins is not easy. Often while waiting for them to reach their targets suddenly the hole market takes a dive before they get there.. or we sell them and they keep going much much higher leaving us behind in the dust.. So i came up with another approach trying to time the point where the hole market dives and sell them all together no matter where they are in their own individual cycles..
When to exit Alt-coins? This is my Crypto market-cap analysis and game-plan excluding Bitcoin.
The only tools i use for this prediction is the Fibonacci Extension tool and Tom Demark's TD sequence Indicator.
before i start i want to say that the big market cycle top is far far away in my opinion and I expect it to be around the 10.618 extension or higher which is at around 4.45 Trillion total market-cap. Basicly a 4x from where we are now.
But of course there will be up and downs like in every market and each time we reach another fib extension target i expect a decent dip worth trading.
Time-wise if we are going to make another TD 9 count on the 3 month chart the 9 would open on 1 July 2022 and close end of September 2022.
This analysis can be used as a roadmap which should help us to play each leg up to our advantage. Selling each leg up for bitcoin and buy back the correction multiplying our alt-coins towards the big top where we will sell it all for stable-coins and wait for the bear-market to do its thing again before buy in and rinse repeat.
That said let's get to it.
The recent 2 small cycle-tops have been made at the 1.618 with 696 Billion and the second one with 1.1 trillion at the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Meaning we had small cycle tops already and have 8 more to go from here if my 10 cycle theory is going to play out.
Why 10 tops? I can not explain you why but i can teach you a secret i found with the 10.618. I have backtested this on multiple assets and it seems there is something about it that does work. It is basicly free money if you learn to play this. You should try it out yourself by backtesting it on your favourite assets and you might make fantastic finds and possibly life-changing gains in the future ahead just by knowing this secret which is a great help to know when to get out. this 10.618 can also be applied on smaller timeframes and can be of great help for every trader.
If you manage to do well based on my teachings please gimme a shoutout. It would make me very happy knowing i have helped someone reach financial freedom.
lets continue:
I decided to publish the idea in the 3 month time frame in order to cut out most of the noise. You can see that we have reached a green TD 9 count on the 3 month chart in January 2018 which was the 1st ever market-cycle top in alt-coins.
the indicator is not counting 1-9 properly after the top and i could not find one that does it right. So i placed a text-box with the red numbers so you can see that there was basicly 9 chaotic candles after the green 9. you will notice that after the chaotic 9 it started a new green count which currently prints a green 4.
so currently we are on a green TD 4 suggesting we should have over 1 year of upside before we reach the green 9 and possibly the big market cycle top by end of September 2022.
now lets get to the point. what do we do from here?
the next obvious target is the 3.618 at 1.5 Trillion USD
The game-plan is to sell all alt-coins when we reach the next Fibonacci target and move either into bitcoin.
In my opinion the best would trading versus BTC and only move into stable-coins once we have reached the Big cycle top.
So each time we reach one of these Fib lines we must make sure we exit all alt-coins into bitcoin even if they have not reached their own targets.
Once a small cycle top is in and we start to dip we then can draw a Fibonacci retracement on our alt-coins we wish to buy back lower and layer our bids for buy back between the 618 and 786 fibonacci.
then we wait for the next Fib in this case the 4.618 target at 1.91 Trillion and so forth.. etc.. Rinse repeat.
i will update this Idea with more detailed small timeframe charts all the way until the big market-cycle top reminding you when to get out and when to get back in.
To not miss any updates and alt-coin ideas please follow me here on Tradingview.
Then you are all set for the super-cycle alt-coin run and all you need to do is to watch out for the signals and enjoy the ride/gains.
Not financial advice.
please like if you enjoyed this and feel free to ask or comment.
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ps: if you like reading trading books I do recommend you to read the book about Tom Demark's TD sequential.