Have we seen the bottom?

2021년 1월 22일

There was a substantial upward trend between 1942 and 1981 in the 10 years Us treasury notes. After that, a declining has been ongoing for 39 years. This cycle is getting to its end, and I can imagine that we had already seen the bottom of it in 2020, I think this despite the fact that the falling trend has not yet broken.
Ok I know, now I am visioning a change of regime or a change of paradigm, but today's circumstance could create such a change.

So I don't know if there will be moderate inflation or hyperinflation or something like that, but the 10year Us treasury notes should break out of this falling channel and after that, even the rising could accelerate.

What should traders do if they would like to protect themself from inflation? For me short the bond market!
Now I start to see the market very closely and searching for a good us bond market short ETF and getting involved in this market step by step.

I don't know whether I am right, maybe just 2 or 3 years will come to this change(especially because the FED announced that they won't change this rate policy until 2023). But be aware that because if the time will come and you are not prepared then your money will be burned.

I have just thought that I will share my vision of the next extremely adventurous years, and I am very curious about your vision and your solution

Thank you for your attention!