SPY Tech Brkdown: Bullish Momentum Building into Key Resistance

SPY Technical Breakdown: Bullish Momentum Building into Key Resistance Zones

Analyzing the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) on the 4-hour timeframe. As of the latest candle, SPY trades at $547.37, up 0.15%, and is showing signs of sustained bullish momentum after a recent pullback. For swing and short-term traders, this setup could present a strategic opportunity.

🔍 Price Action and Volume Analysis
SPY has shown a textbook recovery from April lows, bouncing cleanly from support around the S2 pivot at $515.50. Volume is also increasing on up candles, indicating institutional buyers may be stepping in. The 4-hour chart structure suggests a healthy uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.

🎯 Key Fibonacci Pivots and Resistance Zones
This chart includes weekly Fibonacci pivots, providing clear areas to watch:

R1: $530.33

R2: $545.15

R3: $554.32

Currently, SPY is trading just above R2. If it breaks and holds above this level, the next target lies at R3, which could act as a resistance zone and potential area for profit-taking.


🧠 Indicator Insights: VWAP and Bollinger Band Strategy
The lower chart panel features a strategy combining VWAP and Bollinger Bands, labeled "BBofVWAP with entry at Pivot Point." It triggered a +40 signal recently near the VWAP-Pivot level, reinforcing the bullish thesis. The slight expansion in Bollinger Bands hints at rising volatility, possibly paving the way for a bigger move.

📈 Bullish Scenario
If SPY maintains strength above $545.15, we may see a continuation toward $554.32 (R3). A strong close above R3 could signal a bullish breakout with potential to test new highs.

🔻 Bearish Case to Watch
On the flip side, failure to hold above R2 and a breakdown below $530.33 could indicate a bull trap. In this scenario, $515.50 or even $506.34 (S3) could come back into play.