Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 7–11, 2025

🔮 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:

🇺🇸📈 New U.S. Tariffs Begin April 9: Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs — 10% on all imports, 25%+ on key sectors — could stir volatility.

🇨🇳📦 China Retaliates April 10: A 34% retaliatory tariff on U.S. goods raises trade war fears and inflation concerns.

🏦💰 Big Bank Earnings Kick Off: JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and BlackRock will report. Markets will watch closely for financial health signals.

📉📊 March CPI Report Coming April 10: Inflation data could sway the Fed’s rate path. Forecasts call for a 0.1% increase.

⚠️ Volatility Alert: Piper Sandler projects a possible 5.6% move in the S&P 500 this week — up or down.

📊 Key Data Releases 📊

📅 Monday, April 7:

🗣️ Fed Gov. Kugler Speaks (10:30 AM ET)
💳 Consumer Credit (3:00 PM ET) — Forecast: $15.5B | Prev: $18.1B

📅 Tuesday, April 8:

📈 NFIB Small Biz Optimism (6:00 AM ET) — Forecast: 100.7
🗣️ Fed’s Mary Daly Speaks (8:00 AM ET)

📅 Wednesday, April 9:

📦 Wholesale Inventories (10:00 AM ET) — Forecast: 0.4% | Prev: 0.8%
🗣️ Fed’s Barkin Speaks (11:00 AM ET)
📝 FOMC Minutes (2:00 PM ET)

📅 Thursday, April 10:

📉 Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) — Forecast: 219K
📊 CPI (8:30 AM ET) — Forecast: 0.1% | Prev: 0.2%
🗣️ Fed Gov. Bowman Testifies (10:00 AM ET)

📅 Friday, April 11:

🏭 PPI (8:30 AM ET) — Forecast: 0.2% | Prev: 0.0%
🗣️ Fed’s Musalem Speaks (10:00 AM ET)

⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis