$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Oct 14, 2025

🔮 SPY / SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Oct 14, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Powell returns: The Fed Chair’s midday remarks anchor Tuesday — traders watch tone shifts after a light Columbus Day tape.
💬 Fed-heavy lineup: Bowman, Waller, and Collins fill out the day — policymaker divergence could move yields and risk assets.
📈 Small biz sentiment: NFIB optimism opens the day, giving early insight into Main Street labor and inflation pressures.
⚠️ Shutdown overhang: Broader data flow still limited — markets key off Fed speak and earnings momentum.

📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 6:00 AM — NFIB Small Business Optimism (Sept)
⏰ 8:45 AM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Gov) speech
⏰ 🚩 12:20 PM — Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech
⏰ 3:25 PM — Christopher Waller (Fed Gov) speech
⏰ 3:30 PM — Susan Collins (Boston Fed) speech

⚠️ Note: No high-tier macro data releases due to shutdown effects — Fed communication and earnings dominate the tape.

⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational / informational only — not financial advice.

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