SPY Summer Pullback

5월 31일

The recent low levels of liquidity may become more prevalent moving into the summer time as vacation time for many nears.

I am also waiting to hear the decision from the Bank Of Canada as well as other major banks around the world about the start of quantitative easing and lowering interest rates as soon as June.

The only problem with this, is the increasing value of the USD/DXY which may begin to strengthen against other currencies whom begin their devaluation.

Because the markets are generally measured relative to the dollar, a stronger DXY may provide the market with some downside in the summer months.

We do have some gaps (inefficiency) below at approx. 505-510 on the SPY. Interestingly or not , the golden 0.618 golden fib overlaps perfectly in these potential support zones.

I do not quite see the larger probability of a major market crash during an election year at the moment, and the longer term trend is still bullish.

Lets see how things play out

6월 13일

노트

Dollar index at support zone after grabbing liquidity.

Potentially looking for the move up here

6월 13일

노트

DXY on the 2H

6월 21일

노트

SPY breaking a potential trend.

6월 21일

노트

Dollar index as expected moving higher

6월 28일

액티브 트레이드

SPY Potential double top with a failed buyer patter at the top of the range.

Would love to see a pull back into the CC zone