Teklologist

SPX: Trading the Pythagrorean dilation

Teklologist 업데이트됨   
SP:SPX   S&P 500 인덱스
Short based on chart.

A sure bet when trading it in four dimensions but risky when only in three. Since this is a four-dimensional dilation pattern it suffers from relativity and uncertainty: do your best to account for price momentum when determining your position.
코멘트:
All of a sudden I’m restricted from viewing real-time SPX data. I’m told I must either log out or purchase an additional package to view it. Anyone else experiencing this?
코멘트:
Also, shared this in a comment so I’ll share here.
코멘트:
It’s also worth keeping an eye on the euro. Many many euro-based spx constituents. Since I can no longer access Spx, checkout spy/eurusd.
코멘트:
Eat Bart’s shorts, man!
코멘트:
Sucks chart won’t update since TV pulled SPX data. Looks to still be in both the rising and broadening wedges with much bearish divergence.
코멘트:
Monday might be the day. Price is in real make or break zone. Be ready!
코멘트:
Here’s how ~3000 could still play out, also following main chart.
코멘트:
Though, that bottom trend line is speculative. Could also look like this
코멘트:
5 might have not topped yet. It’s a ‘black swan’ event. There’s a wave 5 extension with an inner sub-wave 1 extension. Therefore corresponding sub-waves 3 and 5 are both less than sub-wave 1. Since sub-wave 3 was ~.382 and can’t be shortest, sub-wave 5 can’t be more than .382 sub-wave 1 length or count is invalid.
코멘트:
Easier to follow.
코멘트:
Larger megaphone with same result for your pleasure.
코멘트:
Still eyeing potential top between 3015-3055.
코멘트:
I'm considering that the megaphone completed and is heading down now, with the top already in. Historically, it appears price can pass through bounding lines and in some cases not even touch. Best to keep our options open.
코멘트:
Also, looks like SPX is in a leading diagonal down.
코멘트:
If price drops below 2805 then statistically there’s a 53% chance of it dropping below the ~2009 ascending broadening wedge, which would be disastrous.
코멘트:
Old trading idea based on price drop. Figured I would share it here also.
코멘트:
My confidence is gaining in that Spx is in ABC correction of a cycle Wave 3.
코멘트:
I might eventually publish this as a separate idea.
코멘트:
Short term target.
코멘트:
Also, here’s a potential TVIX play.
코멘트:
Here you go.
코멘트:
코멘트:
Last update on this today, I promise.
코멘트:
I lied. This is better than the chart I just posted. Shame I can't delete previous updates.
코멘트:
I might have miscounted some waves. Wave 5 might have an extended sub-wave 3 and truncated (based on Fib channel) fifth as depicted here.
코멘트:
Possible HS playing out. Price can’t go much higher and this Shoulder’s volume needs to stay lower than Head’s volume for it to remain valid. Completes if price breaks lower than neckline.
코멘트:
Price shouldn’t go much higher*. There are cases where shoulders are lopsided.
코멘트:
Looks to me like a developing extended Wave 1 leading diagonal down. As shown, the second downwards move is almost equal to but slightly more than the first one. Were this an ABC correction during uptrend then C~= A with small B, which is unlikely. More likely is a sub-wave 3 ~= sub-wave 1 with large sub-waves 2 and 4 and overlapping 1 and 4. This would indicate an impending large sub-wave 5 to end leading diagonal Wave 1.
코멘트:
Oops. Can’t believe I’ve never shared my ‘recession chart’. Here you go.
코멘트:
Possibly bearing witness to an unfolding EPIC BART.
코멘트:
코멘트:
Sure can close to calling that top precisely! Here’s a related idea from today regarding top and drop.
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