Forecast of complete bull failure in SPX 2022

2022년 6월 16일

Here's where the big breaking of the bull trend may come in SPX. It might be made.

Here's where the big breaking of the bull trend came in the DJI of 1929.

The breaking of this 161 level has been the best leading signal of major market failure.

DJI

Nikkei

SPX?

Here we always bounce from the 161 to just over the 127 fib. If this signal is in play, someone would be able to make a forecast of the hard crash coming from around 4150.

Historically markets top when they reject the 161 of the last big drop, and they capitulation when they break the 161 of the topping swing.

We have both of these now.

2022년 6월 17일

노트

Levels where major blue chips makes similar large breaks.

2022년 6월 17일

노트

I think under 3620 or so we'll start to enter more obvious "Crashing" conditions. A trend usually is structured and smooth for about half the move and then turns into a blaze of fury. We might be close to the fury. Capitulation swing down to 3300 would be the implied move if so.

2022년 6월 17일

노트

Real capitulation risk is now high.

2022년 6월 21일

노트

If this is coming we're into the final kicks of the bull and the big bear should become strongly apparent upon the rejection of this rally.

Taking short positions in indices, crypto and gold.
Long positions in Yen and USD.

If implied pattern plays out, we'd be 50% off the high before 2023.

2022년 6월 22일

노트

Might be go time. Big kick out for bears. We'll see what happens.

2022년 6월 23일

노트

Not seeing things consistent with this. Made an exit of bear swing trades. Will look to enter again as a bear higher or lower.

2022년 6월 25일

노트

Planning to get short again somewhere in the 4000 - 4100 zone ideally.

2022년 6월 26일

노트

Entry strategy for the big short.

2022년 7월 5일

노트

That might be the start of it. Real crash might be starting.

2022년 7월 15일

액티브 트레이드

Taking crash bets now.

2022년 7월 17일

노트

We continue to mirror classic break signals.

2022년 7월 25일

액티브 트레이드

Tsking a lot of swing entries today around 3980 in SPX and also taking shorts in various other big stocks.

AAPl as an example.