SPX fork in the road

The US S&P 500 index is currently sitting on the crucial 50-day MA rate of $4,438. It’s difficult to predict where equities will go but a failed break below the 50-day MA could allow equities to push higher towards $4,650. A break below the 50-day MA will however invalidate the 5-wave impulse pattern which will see the index fall to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $4,310.