US-Sentiment Indikatoren Q4 2017

2017년 10월 16일

Indikatoren, die helfen kurz- oder mittelfristige Trends einzuschätzen:

Cboe Intraday Put Call Ratio
NYSE A/D Ratios
Greed&Fear Index
CoT Report
AAII Sentiment

Updates erfolgen, sobald aussagefähige Indikationen vorliegen.

2017년 10월 16일

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DJIA: ATH, SK fast auf Tageshoch respektive Intraday ATH.

Bemerkenswert:

- VIX: + 2,39%
- Cboe intraday put call ratio 1,18

2017년 10월 16일

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Cboe intradayput call ratio: 5 Jahreschart ycharts.com/indicators/total_putcall_ratio

Der Chart zeigt den steilen Anstieg vom 16. Oktober 2017

2017년 10월 17일

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Dow cracks 23,000 mark for the first time
investing.com/news/stock-market-news/futures-flat-as-investors-assess-earnings-from-big-names-542670

Same time VIX is up 4.34%, G&F dropping one point to 76 and cboe intraday put call ratios 0,92. # DJIA knackt neue historische Marke. Zeitgleich steigen VIX und Put call Ratios.

2017년 10월 17일

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SENTIMENT VIEW: DJIA ATH. VIX PLUS 5%, Cboe Put Call Ratio "Extreme Fear"

During the last five trading days, volume in put options has lagged volume in call options by 35.17% as investors make bullish bets in their portfolios. However, this is still among the highest levels of put buying seen during the last two years, indicating extreme fear on the part of investors.
Last changed Oct 16 from a Fear rating
money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

VIX: Plus 5,5%

2017년 10월 18일

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Fund investors wary of greed amid U.S. stock rally

Yardeni Research Inc Chief Investment Strategist Ed Yardeni said gains in U.S. stocks might still lure investors eager to profit, but that could push prices beyond reasonable levels and leave them susceptible to cratering in a so-called melt-up.
"We've had no meaningful correction since the beginning of 2016," Yardeni said.
"The market just doesn't seem to be able to go down so the path of least resistance has been up, and that's in the face of a lot of turmoil in Washington and geopolitical issues that have largely been ignored."

The S&P 500 has delivered more than a 16 percent return this year, including dividends, and more than 350 percent since its March 2009 lows.
Lately, though, easily won gains in U.S. stocks have led to a bit more fear than greed among fund https://investors.https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/fund-investors-wary-of-greed-amid-us-stock-rally-543624

2017년 10월 19일

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VIX: Kurzfristiges Kaufsignal (!) einen Tag nach neuen Rekord ATH's der US-Aktienmärkte.

2017년 10월 21일

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Längster Aufwärtstrend aller Zeiten ohne 3% Korrektur:

2017년 10월 26일

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VIX: Der VIX wiederholt das Chartmuster der Vorwoche. Spike am Mittwoch mit beeindruckendem Intraday Reversal. Sell Signal VIX vice versa Buy Signal für US Aktienmärkte. Der DAX hat die Bewegung mit einem 335 Punkte Swing (110 down, 225 up) nachvollzogen. Am Folgetag hat der DAX ein neues ATH mit 13.145 Punkten (intraday) un 13.133 (SK) markiert. Der VIX zeigt damit ein weiteres mal, dass sich dieser Indikator für kurzzeitige Trades im Einzelfall sehr gut nutzen lässt.

2017년 10월 26일

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Kommentar: GEOPOLITICS, USA, TAX REFORM

US-Repräsentantenhaus stimmt Budgetentwurf mit knapper Mehrheit zu de.4-traders.com/boerse-nachrichten/US-Reprasentantenhaus-stimmt-Budgetentwurf-mit-knapper-Mehrheit-zu--25371955/?utm_medium=RSS&utm_source=tradingview&utm_content=20171026

ANMERKUNG: BUY THE RUMOR, SELL THE FACTS

Die US-Steuerreform wird nach derzeitiger Planung frühestens am 23. Dezember verabschiedet werden können. Sollte dieser Zeitpunkt eingehalten werden, ist dies das ideale Momentum für eine Jahresendrally. Werden die Gerüchte zu fakten, lässt sich der Markt anschliessen shorten.

2018년 3월 1일

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SPX @ 2.675, DJIA @ 24.550: US Indices knapp All Time High Niveau, Cboe Intraday Put Call Ratios und Fear & Greed Index auf oder unter den Niveaus des Crashs im Jahr 2016