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Shorting SPX at 3K

업데이트됨

Trades exactly along the TL formed by Sep double tops. Just a guess- maybe it will sell a bit from here.

I bought 10 each SPY 300P Nov 25s; QQQ Nov 29 194s and DIA Nov 22 268 puts. In $5 bear spreads against Friday's weeklies, reduces cost by ~10%.

If it sells great; if not, collect the weeklies.

This is NOT advice; trade at your own risk! GLTA!

액티브 트레이드

Added 5 more contracts to each position; now in 45 spreads. Not shorting IWM today!

Wait to see how it closes...

액티브 트레이드

Added an additional 5 contracts to each spread as the drift back and forth ITM/OTM. Get discount on long contracts when OTM; the short weeklies stay about the same, a little less. Now doubled position into 60 contracts. This is how I roll.

액티브 트레이드

Added to position on lift to 3010, which was not unexpected. Took a nice realized gain from short puts in bear spreads and rolled down and out for a credit. Now in 30 put spreads; adding again if we see 3020. Don't wanna have a tight spread if it tanks suddenly the shorts will kill any gains! Now spread 25 Nov 300P v 28 Oct 296.5P.

노트

Clarification in 30 SPY spreads; have added to total position now holding 120 bear spreads over four indices. Took out ~3k on the shorts this mornin!

액티브 트레이드

Added ten moar spreads in PM trade just before it rolled over, up around 3012. I feel like a fkg genius!

매매 수동청산

Took what the market gave me. Can still go either way. Watch the candles!

액티브 트레이드

Re-entered three bear spreads on Weds rally again. Shorting each rally in a small way as it seems to be in daily distribution- pump in AM, dump in PM. FOMC on Weds will trigger the pivot either way IMO. Expect test of ATH before throwover.

액티브 트레이드

Added in early session and rolled short sides down and out. Added a few more on the midday bounce.

액티브 트레이드

Increased by 5 lots again in AM trade. Rolled up profits on the short legs. I'm holding this over weekend; usually I don't do that but we shall see. Break feels imminent, can come anytime.

액티브 트레이드

Weds FOMC likely catalyst to break. Econo reports this week and jobs on Friday... let the distribution begin!

I'm in SPXS, TECS, puts on IWM, QQQ, SPY + DIA. Even bought calls on UVXY... those got weak Friday lol! Holding it, add on Monday if we see 3030!

노트

Added on this monster rally. Smacks of a bull trap- at double top.

노트

All downhill from here:
marketwatch.com/story/historically-this-is-the-day-that-the-stock-market-sees-its-richest-gains-2019-10-28?mod=home-page

액티브 트레이드

Rolled my Nov 25 SPY 302P up to 303 for pennies. DJT is Red; divergence. NB: Vix INCREASING on an UP day! It's a washout ATH IMO.

노트

Gaps to fill back down to 2949. 3067 is 1.272 Fibo. See if it gets it. Add if it does!

노트

Volume low: 1.2m an hour before the close. Traded 3x that on Thurs & Fri.

노트

Yea Dow Theory at work: volume not confirming trand; divergence in averages: a bull trap IMO.

investopedia.com/terms/d/dowtheory.asp

노트

Past month chart appears to be an irregular expanded flat, with 'B' higher than start point of 'A'. If so, 'C' will be most impressive.

노트

Alphabet after hours ER miss put a damper on the post-session futurez! Could still get a low-vol last push to 3067 on FOMC optimism. Whether they cut again or not, markets are priced for perfection now and will certainly sell on the news. I'm all in on short side atm.

매매 수동청산

Action after the FED action is bullish. Might reverse but R/R is poor; stopped out and preserved a nice gain!

DaddySawbucks