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SPX Bearish Nenstar (Shark) completing at 3047-3060

업데이트됨

Bearish Nenstar harmonic, cousin to shark, cypher, bat/butterfly patterns; a Gartley variant. Typically the selloff from pattern completion at D is a .50 retracement of the CD leg up. In this case, price would be expected to drop ~150 pips to close the gap at 2864.

Nenstar and Cypher patterns are variants of Sharks. Basic form: C is lower than A. In Bearish Butterflies & Gartleys, C is higher than A.

Sharks: Nenstar D is higher than X, Cypher D is lower than X. All variants of the same theme = 'W' pattern leading to price correction.
Nice examples here: traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/10747-new-patterns-for-harmonic-traders/

NB: Final move C-D in Nenstar may extend to 1.272 - 2.00 of A-B. In this case, 147 pips for AB x 2.00 = 3060, maximum pattern height.

This is just an idea and in no way constitutes investment advice; GLTA!!

액티브 트레이드

Entered positions in SPY @ 300, QQQ @230, IWM @ 140, DIA @255 in June puts; short Friday's expiring dailies in $5 bear spreads. GLTA!!

And holding FB Jun puts @ 222.5 in $5 bear spread against Fri 217.5P.

노트

Price rises to the target zone in choppy volatile trade; VIX also rising. Bearish IMO

액티브 트레이드

Going whole hog; added 5 spreads to each position now in 110 bear spreads. Shark will bite very soon IMO.

Pushback in early trade from 3050. Divergence in DJT and RUT, warning signs.
Scarce volume. Break imminent IMO

노트

Adjusted: Rolled the FB spread up to 225 strike and rolled the short leg down to 05 Jun 212.5 for net debit of 0.10c.

노트

Major indices forming rising wedges intraday. Bear Flags IMO

액티브 트레이드

This is the nailbiting teeth gritting cliff hanger moment when it looks so G-D'd Bullish u feel "FFS I MIGHT BE WRONG!"

But indicators are Bearish, volume not confirm price, all the news is grim, the irrational exuberance will break soon IMO.

Made out like a bandit on the short legs, sold contracts for 88c in the AM and covered for a dime. Still looking at drawdown but IWM position is green. Rolled weeklies down $2 and out to 5 Jun.

Shorting is really tough when you get into this position it takes steel nerves to hold on. NOT letting the bulls shake me loose this time!

노트

Increasng divergence in DJT, RUT as the rally weakens. IWM puts jumping...

노트

Got a helluva shooting star on the day in DJI, NQ; SPX holding up EOD. The Nenstar sells.

매매 수동청산

Taking risk off over weekend ! made out like bandit on these positions, take what the market gives you!! GLTA!!

노트

3140 is the 0.786 retracement; we might see it IMO

액티브 트레이드

Opening gap on 6/01 filled as expected, re-entering short positions on the gapfill rally; in June 30 puts in bear spreads vs. 5 Jun weeklies on:
QQQ 233
SPY 304
DIA 255
IWM 140
FB 230

Short legs spread various strikes bewteen $8-10 OTM; opening with 6 contracts in each spread

노트

Increased pos to 10 contracts in each spread; there's a clear 5-wave EW intraday formed. OFC it can get higher; these pos are all hedged spreads.

액티브 트레이드

Another monster wedge forming intraday... testing the 3060 top as expected. Adding to shorts, rolled up the short legs on SPY for nice day trade, now in 03 Jun 302P.

노트

Took another nice day gain off the FB short legs rolled 220s up to 222.5s, Friday weeklies. Added 5 spreads.

노트

Added 5 bear spreads on QQQ Jul10 233P v Jun05 227P

액티브 트레이드

Double topped IMO, nominal slightly higher top on 6/02. Legged out and back in on the above positions, rolled up to next higher strikes in each. Took nice gains on the short legs, rolled those down and out.

노트

Heavy short here on the intraday double top at weekly double top... rollover imminent IMO

Short: DIA SPY QQQ IWM FB

액티브 트레이드

Yeah it's damage control now. Rolled the short legs up for gain to cut drawdown on long legs in half. Rolled up the strikes on long legs; gaps will fill. Madness IMO; caught in a Bear Trap!

노트

Look out for short covering forced liquidation rally extension at 1400 EST, when brokers dump unmet margin calls at market.

노트

Rolled the short legs up still in Friday expiratoin, $2 spreads now in case forced liquidations and short covering EOD drives NQ back to ATH... expect SPX, DJI to get the 0.786 Fib by Friday.

노트

Yep here's the 2PM pop right on schedule!

노트

My goodness! Such FOMO! What MOMO! Holding short and rolling the short legs again, lol. Hedged with calls at noon which did rather nicely. Will hold those overnight!

노트

NB: short squeeze pressure is diminished as most of the weak hands have been forced out over the past 2 weeks, especially in past 2 sessions, there was a nice EOD squeeze on Tues and again Weds, not quite as fierce. By Friday most forced liquidations will have been executed by brokers.

The subsequent free fall when smart money distributes their shares will be most impressive, a vertical selloff, no short stops to take out.

노트

NQ 100 reached ATH on 3 Jun, FAANG MOMO speculation, up 6%.

액티브 트레이드

Decisive pushback from 0.786 Fibo. Rejected 6/04 below 6/03 high (3131). Confirm trend change on Friday IMO

Added to shorts in QQQ IWM DIA SPY FB

노트

Rejecting!

매매 수동청산

Idea invalidated by current events, closed out all on stop!

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