SOL / TetherUS

Is It Too Late to Join the Solana Rally? A Trader's Perspective

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With recent market movements pushing Solana toward major highs reminiscent of December 2021, you might be wondering: Am I too late to join the Solana party? Should I wait to buy, or is a crash imminent?

The good news is, it's never too late. Whether you're a long-term holder or a futures trader, there are strategies to consider.


Long-Term Strategy
For long-term investors, the outlook remains bullish. The goal is to identify optimal entry points for buying.

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As shown in the daily chart above, Solana has broken past the highs of Monday, July 29th, and Monday, April 1st. The liquidity above the last high (July 29th) was quickly absorbed, indicated by the yellow dotted horizontal lines at 0.7% and 1.2% above the previous high. These levels correspond to the liquidation points for positions with 100x and 50x leverage, respectively.

While we've surpassed the April 1st high, leveraged positions haven't been fully triggered yet. To confidently enter a long position and increase our Solana holdings, we're waiting for confirmation above the July 2024 high. This confirmation could manifest in one of the following ways:

Scenario 1
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Scenario 2
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However, if the price action resembles this:
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We should exercise caution, as it may indicate a potential downturn. In such cases, it would be prudent to look for alternative long entry points.


Futures Trading
For futures traders, similar setups apply for entering long positions. When considering shorts, opportunities might arise near the upper boundary of the current grey zone. One strategy is to set a stop-loss around $202, aligning with significant sell pressure—suitable for high-leverage trades. Alternatively, for lower leverage, placing a stop-loss above recent highs around $205 could be effective.

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In Summary: Regardless of your trading style, staying informed and vigilant is key. The Solana market presents opportunities for both long-term investors and short-term traders. Analyze the charts, watch for confirmations, and make informed decisions.

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