The Thesis: After decades of forming a colossal base, Silver (XAGUSD) has confirmed a structural breakout above its multi-decade all-time high resistance zone, previously capped between $49.76 and $55.00. This is not a short-term trade; it marks the beginning of a new secular bull market for the metal.
Technical Confirmation
The Breakout: A sustained weekly/monthly close above the $55.00 level is critical and confirms the elimination of the 45-year resistance ceiling.
Measured Move Target: The completion of this massive basing pattern projects a minimum initial target toward the $75.00 - $80.00 range.
Momentum: Key momentum show strong upward conviction, indicating that this move is supported by heavy institutional volume.
Fundamental Drivers
Structural Deficit: Global mine supply and recycling are chronically insufficient to meet demand. The Solar/Photovoltaic and Electric Vehicle (EV) industries are creating a massive, unyielding demand floor. Analysts project a fifth consecutive year of significant supply deficit.
Monetary Tailwinds: Expectations of a dovish Fed and eventual rate cuts are pushing investors toward non-yielding assets. The Gold/Silver Ratio is falling, suggesting silver is playing catch-up to gold with amplified gains.
Risk Management
The current bullish thesis would be heavily invalidated if XAG/USD sees a decisive weekly close back below the psychological $50.00 level, which was the prior critical resistance turned support.
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.
