Looking at the Russel 2000 index.

Some over analysis.

I get so many strategies colliding into each other I end up with no clear trade signals. Something that I can't do very well, but I can at least talk about, is the need to take a very simple strategy, then apply fine tuning onto it. When I am rushing into trades (because I want to get it over with) I take several major strategies and collide them. This yields a very messy concentrate. I then tend towards looking for channels and triangles.

The market is an efficiency machine. If you are wondering why the market is behaving in a way you can always start again safely at that conclusion. The market is an efficiency machine, nothing more, nothing less. Then build your extrapolations from there. This will ensure your construction is on solid ground.