PANW Breaks Out! Chart Analysis and Trade Setup

7월 15일

The current situation at the company
Palo Alto Networks reported robust financial results, with total revenue hitting $1.98 billion, a solid 15% year-over-year increase. Their Next-Generation Security (NGS) Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) soared to approximately $4 billion, up 47% from the previous year. These numbers underscore Palo Alto Networks' strong positioning in the cybersecurity market, fueled by increasing demand for advanced security solutions.

These results highlight PANW 0.79%↑, a solid position in the cybersecurity sector amidst increasing demand for advanced security solutions.

Strategically, Palo Alto Networks made significant moves, including a $500 million deal with IBM to acquire QRadar assets. This acquisition not only expands their cybersecurity offerings but also strengthens their market presence. However, the impact on revenue from this acquisition is expected to be modest for FY 2025 due to deferred revenue recognition, showcasing a careful approach to integration and financial management.

Financially, PANW improved its operating margins by 200 basis points compared to last year, with operating income growing by 25%.

Despite these gains, the company anticipates a slight dip in non-GAAP EPS for Q4 FY 2024, projecting earnings in the range of $1.40 to $1.42, a decrease of 1% to 3% year-over-year.

Looking ahead, I remain optimistic about the rest of FY 2024. With continued growth expected in billings, revenue, and next-generation security ARR, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for cybersecurity solutions worldwide.

PANW recently exhibited a classic cup-and-handle pattern, suggesting strong potential for bullish momentum.

Since the end of June, the stock entered a consolidation phase, following the breakout of the handle. During this period, trading volume decreased, typical for such formations, signaling potential accumulation by institutional investors.

The breakout above the handle's high at $326 was accompanied by increased trading volume, confirming the bullish continuation. PANW swiftly surged past previous highs, to further validate the pattern's signal.

Looking ahead, I think there is still room for upside potential. Based on historical precedents of cup-and-handle patterns, which often lead to substantial price gains, PANW could see a continuation of its upward trajectory and fill the gap to $364.