Can the Kiwi learn how to fly?

2023년 8월 19일

The Kiwi Dollar has been very weak against the Swiss Franc for pretty much the entirety of 2023, with the last noteworthy bull run occurring last autumn. After this year's prolonged and massive bear run, the pair has finally reached its all-time lowest price. The current area around 0.52 seems to have potential as a good support price.

I feel a short-term bullish retracement might occur from this area, pushing price back up to around 0.55 area. From there, initial bias would be the continuation of the downtrend, but perhaps a risk-on bias will overtake the market, pushing price even higher.

2023년 8월 24일

액티브 트레이드

Price has now broken above the 1H 200 MA, first time doing so in a month. This very well may be start of the bullish rebound.

2023년 9월 4일

노트

Over the past few years, this pair has often turned bullish in the latter months of each year, experiencing uptrending surges that stretch into higher timeframes. Last autumn, a bullish trend reversal started in the month of September, and lasted throughout those remaining months, until the year closed.

If history is on our side, we should expect bullish activity from here on out, and the uptrend may officially begin.

2023년 9월 26일

거래청산: 타겟 닿음

2023년 10월 19일

노트

As I initially expected, NZD was able to rally the price up to .55, and then dropped, allowing the downtrend to continue.

2024년 7월 31일

액티브 트레이드

Revisiting this post, price has come back down to all time low support level, same situation as last year. I'm opening another long position once again, and I plan to aim for 0.55-0.56 level.