$NVO Accumulating long term compounder!

7월 30일

- Previously, I have shorted NVO when it was in $75-85 when moat was weakening and then went long around $58 to $75 for 40% on the long side. Everything is documented in my two posts.

- People are asking me if NVO is cheap or not. After cutting guidance, I believe most of the estimates for EPS about NVO are way off which would be revised downwards.

- At the same time, I believe NVO has kitchen sinked their guidance because of new CEO transition which is very common in the publicly traded company.

- NVO might not be cheap after cutting guidance honestly but not overvalued either.
- NVO could be a dead money for some time 6 months, 1 year or 2 years who knows?

- But I know that weight loss industry in general is growing overall at least till 2030 and beyond.
- Some concerns I have is NVO leadership is getting challenged by LLY so it could be possible that NVO might get lesser piece of the pie. However, overall piece is growing along with it so NVO should continue to grow but at a lower rate than earlier.

- Net free cash flow should grow and company might return on investment to shareholders via share buybacks?

- Finally, I am buying NVO in increments and have bought first lot of shares in $50.xx and will continue to add more if it drops more. I think NVO can test 200 monthly moving average @ $35.

- I have marked the accumulation box in the chart for your reference.

7월 30일

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Plan is to build a position incrementally on major red days like today!

7월 30일

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Potential end of downtrend around $35-40 range That's where I am targeting to add heavily

8월 8일

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- NVO is like Index fund of Denmark. Similar to MAG 7 in US. Danish investors' money will flow into NVO as this is their big cap company and any big sell off for them is a buying opportunity.

- Danish pension funds, investment funds are most likely to allocate sizeable portion of their funds into NVO

- Therefore, there is a floor to stock price. I wanted it to touch 200 monthly moving average to load up big time but not sure if it would happen or not. Currently, I have not built full blown position but whatever it is is completely long NVO with 25% of the total position I wanted to build.

8월 18일

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NVO is approved for liver disease. One in three person in the world has a fatty liver. If by any chance we see continued momentum for fatty liver cure then the addressable market has just exploded for NVO

8월 21일

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- Let's go NVO : you are buying an index of a whole freaking country i.e Denmark.
- Passive funds and investors of Denmark will have some allocation for their OG stock NVO
- There's huge force which will keep a floor on the stock price

8월 21일

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Is this time different?
- Maybe but people who bought at the bottom of the trend line in the last 30 years might have also faced the same dilemma.
- close your eyes and buy the fear!

8월 24일

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- Oral pill is coming end of the year! Only 4 months left. Better to front load for additional source of growth!

- pills are easy to consume as compared to taking injections

9월 2일

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- NVO weight loss drug reduces heart attacks by 56%. Holy moly! this is freaking massive! Send this to all times high. TAM is getting so f... larger

9월 9일

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- Good close today at 54.30 on Sep 9, 2025 for NVO where it erased pre-market losses , I believe it's ready to march higher