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NQ 1st Quarter 2023 Update (01-17-23)

On 12/27 I posted the 2023 1st Q Forecast, so far looking as planned and may see drop near 11,700 - 800. BTD's & FOMO's helping the lift. Will update as we go.

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TL Chart, 11,933 may be max lift should NAZ pass 11,700-800

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NAZ 6 days or gains, Since recent bottom the NAZ has produced the following:
800 point move (buy/Hold)
Trading major moves 2,198 / ave day 366 / ave trade 314
ave Long 382 / ave Short 224
Mentioned in many December Post's that the drop seems slow and NAZ was struggling to get lower. The recent pop was expected. The next drop or drop/test will move very quickly. If you are Long or buying the dip, place a trail stop. You can see by the recent run averages that we are 1 Long Trade away from 12,000. Should this or any Long trade get rejected at/near major levels (11,800 - 12,000) that is when the quick drop would most likely come in.

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Not sure about Monday Holiday PPA, looking at Box Zone for Monday O/N into Tuesday set up.

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NAZ may break out in O/N Prop Action Zone and just head higher to upper target and stay above 11600 level. This is likely. The normal move would be to drop and retest 11500-450 level, prior to run. Either way, NAZ should stay in the Box until Tuesday Open Drive.

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Pay attention to the Mid Channel and Mid Stoch on IDS50. Past 2 days the NAZ has been consolidating to go higher or fail then drop to and out of channel.

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100 and 200 MA may be upper targets or turning points.

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KL's for O/N

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KL's On drop, Long above and Short below. On lift, Long on pass.

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IDS20, Confirmation

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No Confirm

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For O/N and Tuesday. NAZ under TL, rejected. Strong Short under 11500 - 470. Long on Hold back to TL.

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Look at the spaghetti chart above. 11564 KL goes to 11520-00 as the drop test should play out. IDS20 below

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Try this for Tuesday

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1st Turn Near Target

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TLX Hit, watch 11556

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11440 break to 11200, NAZ did turn near target.

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YTD, NAZ still in the Box after 8 Sessions.

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Let's see how this plays out.

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Retest prior to next attempt higher.

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NAZ rejected near KL 12069 and may be going to 11650.

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NAZ went to Top of range, I am extremally Bearish as NAZ is at top of expected range. Looking for a pull back.

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01/30/23 week

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12500 hit, Not sure we see another 1,000 points.

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2/3 Intraday call/price action hit Key Level 12868 was rejected and fell. This is near what appear to be a area where we could see another drop tp 12,300.