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NQ Short (08-11-25)

Looking at a Double Top drop at O/N TYD High this week. Red lines are TLX targets lower. Looking for YTD open price level retest to be hit prior to next leg upward. Danger Zone 486 is Long above and Short below for now.

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Short to the DZ for a drop test.

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Ticks need to get deep negative or NAZ is drifting up slowly.

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Adding at 750 hit or near.

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Load it up Short and hold your nose. Use a stop should Magic lift show up, if so it should drop later.

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770 to 670 is the idea here as the snail price action baits the FOMO's.

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Back later, should it drop it has to get out of the channel or back up.

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4 HR view, this is the strangest weakest price action I think I have ever seen. Things are changing and I would just be careful with any longs until we see a major retest below.

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These vertical moves usually get retested prior to next move (which can be up, after retest).

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Staying Short for the Tuesday turn around typical drop.

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Back inside and this may be a key set up while most have their guards down. Sneaky drop today or bigger drop tomorrow is the idea.

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Drop or Pop time. NAZ will need to get the O/N before it starts to drop anymore (usually what it does).

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Again, most moves will see a decent counter move prior to the Real/Actual move. We saw that last week prior to the 4.5% drop.

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Earlier note today, The Idea: 770 to 670 bait on the FOMO's. Now the O/N will either lift it again or this is then Big One. Lift Bait Drop, game for months.

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Now it needs to break the Channel.

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Break through in final minutes, now what? Need to see what tricks/tweets take place in the O/N.

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May hang for DZ retest at 486.

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8/12 Update, No DZ 486 hit, just yet.

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Back up in O/N prior to the Open, typical and now a bounce off lower Chanel TL. 843 to 486 is the range to watch.

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Every move has a counter move of similar to equal distance. Short and long scalping until break out. I took some off prior short but did not close all. Will see what Open Range (O/R) doe here.

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Another way you can tell a fake move is when news breaks (in the pre open) and you get no wiggle. That means that all inventors were thinking the same direction in the entire world at the same time, unlikely.

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Short near KL 843.

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Looking like more Long bait and then the drop after sideways move).

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Scalp whiplash, this is getting ridiculous.

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Short it again and use any points you made on previous trades as the stop, risk free trade. Or you can go Long if you are of the BTD/FOMO mindset.

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On Short with 24,050 as Break Even on Stop, will let roll as I am looking for the drop test prior to the Friday - Monday Long Move. Should NAZ lift prior to Friday then the F-M move may be the sell move instead of Long.

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Here we go, drop or pop.

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Since 8/31 & 7/1, volume has been about half of those 2 days. This may be the decent counter move prior the the actual move. NAZ is barley moving as if the market is not open.

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Air Pocket into the O/N, Divergence may not break at all or until tomorrow Open.

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NDX is back to TL, needs to get above or a rejection will redirect this.

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Channel lower highs with similar lows. The highs are weakening while the lows are hitting the bottom channel. Should the O/N (tonight) not Rig it Up it will go back to lower channel and bounce or bust. That bounce will need be higher than channel middle.

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8/13 Update, O/N lift and riding the ML of channel. Moving stop to 24,200 and adding all the way up should it climb higher.

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Divergence did not break and looking for that in Reg Session.

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Upper Long Target hit and looking for yellow arrow range next

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Same pattern and looking for Reg Session selling to kick in.

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Looking here for Divergence drop that I was mentioning.

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843 is drop or pop zone and they may really try to keep it above. Still believe the this F-M Move is not up, we shall see.

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Again, another O/N lift into the Reg Session drop (see a pattern). All this on low volume near the end of Summer, what do you think is next? BTD/FOMO or Long Trap?

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8/14 Update, Looking lower channel break and TLX 234 retest. Keep in mind that the O/N limit down is -7% and we have not seen many in past 5 years. Should the Reg Session continue to sell off and the O/N switch gears, this can be a quick redirect. This and the fact that we have only seen low volume sessions and very little selling should favor the sell side. Tweets, games and such will be useless.

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Back under the nearby Danger Zone and out of the Channel. So today we may see slow sideways with the potential of quick drops. If not, then snail lift back up with quicks drops.

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NAZ up 12% YTD and hit Long Term TL (Orange Line), 1 or so limit down O/N's and we are back to YTD Open. You have to take into consideration of the EXTREMES of BOTH directions and that would be the extreme case of a drop at this point. Think back to the 12% 10 minute up when the leak of the Tariffs 1st delay was played out. Or take that away and we are Flat on the year.

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FYI, some analyst's are mentioning Rate Hikes or the lifting of rates. This would not be good for Stocks/Washington Street. Staying Short below 24,100 and will let it run through the F-M Long Play. Will be out for next day or so and back on Monday. 843 and under is key and will retest this today or Friday. Good Luck and watch the Tweets.

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Key signal here on the Short side. This was the Slow Lift and now should see some drop testing. Just watch the head fakes on the Long side.