NIFTY : Trading Levels and Strategies for 15-Oct-2024

Nifty 50 Trading Plan for 15-Oct-2024

Previous Day's Chart Pattern Recap
On 14th October, Nifty 50 showed a slight upward bias, holding above the "No Trade Zone" at 25,166 and attempting to break into the resistance zone. However, the index still faces significant resistance around 25,259 and 25,314. The price action suggests potential for a further up-move if these resistances are cleared. However, failure to do so may lead to consolidation or even a downside correction, especially if the index fails to sustain above 25,166.

Opening Scenarios

  1. Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more):
    If Nifty opens above 25,259, it will immediately face resistance at 25,314 and the "Profit Booking Zone" near 25,416 - 25,469. A gap-up could see profit booking around these levels, leading to a pullback towards 25,259.
    Trade Setup:
    - Buy above 25,259 with a stop loss below 25,166.
    - Targets: 25,314, 25,416, and 25,469.
    - Look for reversal signs near 25,416 if the price fails to sustain above this level.




  2. Flat Opening:
    A flat opening near 25,142 suggests potential consolidation around the "No Trade Zone." Traders should wait for a clear break above 25,166 for an upside move or below 25,077 for downside action.
    Trade Setup:
    - Buy above 25,166 with targets of 25,259 and 25,314.
    - Short below 25,077 targeting 24,866 and 24,810.
    - It’s essential to observe the first 30 minutes of trading to gauge momentum and direction before entering a position.




  3. Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more):
    A gap down below 25,077 would push Nifty towards the "Buyer's Support for Trend Reversal" zone near 24,866. Failure to hold this level could lead to further downside towards 24,810, and a reversal here might offer a good long entry.
    Trade Setup:
    - Buy near 24,866 with targets of 25,077 and 25,166.
    - Short below 24,866 with targets of 24,810 and 24,760.
    - Be cautious in gap-down scenarios as volatility can spike and quick reversals are possible.


Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
- In case of a gap-up or gap-down, avoid buying options at inflated premiums right at the open. Wait for a pullback or some consolidation before entering.
- Use spreads like bull call or bear put spreads to reduce risk while capturing the directional move.
- Keep a strict stop loss when trading options, as time decay can eat into profits, especially if the move takes longer than expected.

Summary and Conclusion:
Nifty 50 is currently facing strong resistance at 25,259, with the key levels to watch being 25,166 on the upside and 25,077 on the downside. Depending on the opening scenario, traders should be prepared for a breakout above 25,259 or a breakdown below 25,077, with key levels identified for targets. Risk management is crucial in options trading, particularly in gap-up and gap-down scenarios where volatility may spike.

Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. All trading ideas shared are for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before executing any trades.
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