Type : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 1.2184
Pivot: 1.1957
Support : 1.1784
Preferred Case: On the H4, as prices has broken out of descending trendline and RSI moving along an ascending trendline, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 1.1957 in line with the pullback support to the 1st resistance at 1.2184 where the swing high resistance and 100% fibonacci projection are. Take note of intermediate resistance at 1.2069 where the swing high resistance and 50% fibonacci retracement are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support level at 1.1784 in line with the swing low support and 100% fibonacci projection .
Fundamentals: The GBP released weaker than expected employment data, with average earnings at 6.2% (Forecast: 6.7%), and claimant count change at -20.0K (Forecast: -41.2K). However, the overall impact of the data was subdued for several reasons, the DXY is under pressure from a strong Euro , and the data was released earlier than scheduled, catching markets by surprise. This gives us a bullish bias for GBPUSD .