M2 Money Stock

Don’t fight the printer: M2 stair-steps up, assets follow

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M2 is the bluntest liquidity proxy we’ve got. That white line only really goes one way—and when it accelerates, risk assets don’t argue, they re-rate.

Check the CCI under the chart: triple-digit prints that are frankly absurd for a macro series. That’s the liquidity impulse screaming. When CCI rolls positive and stays there, you tend to get multiple expansion; when it rolled negative in ’22–’23, you got de-rating and chop.

Why it matters (mechanics in one breath):
more dollars chasing the same assets → higher nominal prices, lower real yields → fatter DCFs, easier credit → buybacks/issuance → persistent bid. It’s not about narratives; it’s about liquidity.

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