Chinese Economy (HSI) Supercycle Reversal

1월 28일

The Chinese economy has had 4 consecutive years of closing in decline. Evidently, the Chinese economy supercycle (as depicted in the chart) indicates that a reversal is well overdue (or superdue in this particular context). By the end of this year, it can be expected to see a relatively massive reversal in the Chinese economy, one that may catch many by surprise. On the daily timeframe, this reversal started in this past week, Monday 01/22/24, where China likely saw its last lowest of the year. There's still potential to test 10/31/22 low and maybe even break it at some point in February, but doing so will imply an even larger repump, leading to potential break of the yearly supercycle. In any event, if China does indeed maintain the recent low as the yearly low, it means it intends to engulf the yearly red cycle this year, latest 2025. But 2025-'26 should mean the chinese economy once again sees a powerful decline. After this, Chinese economy could choose to completely collapse as an economy or overcome odds and revive a green supercycle economy.

In my fairest opinion, I think Chinese economy will explode to the upside, likely with fusion technology as the leading catalyst. Artificial Intelligence will ultimately be the wildcard that decides whether this catalyst holds the economy in whole or whether it briefly collapses until further regulation is upheld.