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HOT/BTC IS LOOKING HOOTT TODAY - Day Trader Explains

Lads and Ladies,

Welcome back to TJs' Trade Corner, today we will be taking a look at HOT/BTC after it got some nice attention online, let's see what is actually behind the hype of your favorite shillers.

There are multiple points that I want to cover and we will start with market structure.
Clearly, as many have seen it, we have a falling wedge. This falling wedge has been drawn exactly on the line-chart, where we go only for the closes. I see that there is a second possibility for a falling wedge, focusing on the wicks. Nevertheless, the closing prices have more weight to it and since it aligns perfectly, I stick with them.

The second step is to look at the retracement itself. We see that HOT/BTC had an immense push, yet everthing that goes up, must come down again. This happened here as well, we come once again to a point where is our uptrend broken? To which point can we retrace before the uptrend is officially broken and there is no reason to long anymore?
This is the 61.8% line of the Fibonacci tool. As we can see we are exactly at this point right now and normally we see a strong bounce at these levels.
I have to say, here the Fibs start at the start of the clear uptrend, but end below the very top of it. This is because I want to always have at least 3 confirmation points for any horizontal- or trend-lines.

After identifying the structure, key levels and the trend, we take a look at the volume. Here, the volume has been very significant during the uptrend, yet during the retracment, the volume has been nowhere near significant levels: Still, we had some buy volume spikes in that time, where it should be exactly opposite. This is a clear sign that this is just a retracement and not a new downtrend. Giving us the best foundation for a long position.

Looking next at the TJ-Stoch, we see it trending up, during the retracement, which is a bullish divergence and a good buying opportunity. Moreover, we just saw a crossover and can expect a nice push pretty soon. Especially, if we stay above the 40p line.

Now, lets take a look at what is necessary for a clear breakout.
To be sure of a nice and clear breakout, we need to see a daily close above the 50% Fibs line. At that point, we would have a clear break of the retracement, also, significant volume should be important. The medium target would be at 33 sats, yet it could continue with a 200% push if we break the previous high.

This trade has been published before in my private learning group "ETG".
We are going over many observations and possible trades very frequently.
It is meant for only those who are really interested in becoming a self sufficient trader and learning about all the secrets of trading.

Should you be interested in ETG or the indicators I use, join my discord channel and say hi in chat, then I will give you a free trial for which you might be interested.

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Cheers TJ