HG needs a significant correction before next leg up.

2021년 5월 21일

Risk/reward in short and medium term is not playing in your favour.
Copper has been extremely overextended in last 12 months. Current up wave was huge but I think we need to see a correction.
Looking at a weekly bars and although new commodity/metals super-cycle has theoretically just begun but we should see a significant declines and profit taking before next leg up.
If inflation fears will materialize, copper, just like most of the metals should see much higher prices in a long term. But for now if you want to build your position for next 5-10y, wait for correction. My take on copper based on HG futures chart.