Gold FVG Rejection – Downside in Play

7월 29일

Short Setup

Technical View:
• Price is forming lower highs and lower lows after a clear rejection from the $3,328 area.
• Currently retesting the fair value gap (FVG), which has acted as resistance.
• Volume is weakening on green candles, showing buyers are losing strength.
• The breakdown from earlier has not been recovered, indicating sellers are in control.

Macro Factors Supporting a Short:
• Extension of US-China tariff pause reduces global risk, hurting gold demand.
• De-escalation in EU-US trade tensions adds to risk-on sentiment.
• Strong US economic data and reduced expectations of immediate Fed rate cuts are keeping pressure on gold.
• A stable or strong dollar is another headwind for gold prices.

Trade Plan:
• Sell Entry: $3,320–$3,322
• Stop Loss: Above $3,327
• Target 1: $3,308
• Target 2: $3,300
• Risk-Reward Ratio: Around 1:2.5

This setup remains valid as long as price stays below $3,327 and shows rejection near resistance.

7월 31일

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